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Miami (OH) Upsets Ohio, Tightens MAC Title Race

Miami (OH)’s 34-17 victory handed Ohio its first conference loss and reshaped who controls the race for the MAC championship.

Overview

  • Miami (OH) beat previously unbeaten Ohio 34-17, handing the Bobcats their first MAC loss and narrowing the gap at the top of the standings.
  • Week 11’s midweek slate continued with two Wednesday games — Buffalo at Ball State and Toledo hosting UMass — that now carry increased importance for the conference race and bowl positioning.
  • Bookmakers posted narrow lines on several matchups and projection models, including SportsLine’s 10,000-simulation runs, leaned toward higher totals with many picks favoring the Over.
  • UMass enters Toledo one win away from its first-ever bowl berth while Toledo is a heavy favorite at home, and Buffalo’s game at Ball State is a close line that affects which teams remain in title contention.
  • Ohio had been advantaged by strong third-down and red-zone metrics entering Week 11, and Miami’s win undermines those situational edges and leaves multiple teams with one conference loss battling for the division spot.