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Mexico's Weather Agency Tracks Four Potential Tropical Cyclones Across Both Basins

Forecasters say the disturbances could intensify weekend rainfall, raising flooding risk in parts of the country.

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Overview

  • CONAGUA and the SMN report four systems with formation potential: one in the eastern Pacific and three in the Atlantic.
  • A low south of Guerrero, Michoacán, Colima and Jalisco has a 40% chance of development within seven days and could be named Juliette if it organizes.
  • In the central Atlantic, a disturbance shows a 50% formation chance in 48 hours and 70% in seven days, located roughly 3,275 km east of Quintana Roo and moving north.
  • Another Atlantic low west-southwest of Cabo Verde holds around a 40% chance to develop over 48 hours and seven days, moving west at about 24 km/h and remaining far from Mexico.
  • A third Atlantic system southwest of the Azores has a 30% development probability, while SMN guidance highlights strong to very strong rains this Friday and Saturday from monsoon flow and tropical waves.