Overview
- ANCJ’s Third National Jaguar Census estimates 5,326 jaguars in 2024, about a 10% increase since 2018 and roughly 23% since 2010.
- The 2024 effort deployed 920 camera traps for 90 days across 23 sites in 16 states, producing 134 identifiable captures, including 8 cubs, used for national modeling.
- Regional strongholds are the Yucatán Peninsula with 1,699 jaguars and Pacífico Sur with 1,541, followed by Noreste/Centro (813), Pacífico Norte (733) and Pacífico Centro (540).
- Despite growth, the species remains endangered; at the current pace reaching about 8,000 animals would take more than 30 years, while ANCJ aims to double the population within 15 years.
- Around 70% of jaguar sites fall outside protected areas, with ongoing risks from habitat conversion, projects such as the Tren Maya, and an expanding illegal market for skins, skulls and teeth.