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Mexico’s Homicides Down 32% in Sheinbaum’s First Year, Official Data Show

Security leaders attribute the decline to a four‑pillar strategy focused on coordination, intelligence, interdiction and prevention.

Overview

  • The daily average fell from 86.9 to 59.5 between September 2024 and September 2025, with September 2025 marking the lowest monthly level in nine years.
  • From January to September 2025, authorities recorded 18,407 homicide victims, a 19.1% year‑over‑year decline, with 51% of cases concentrated in Guanajuato, Chihuahua, Baja California, Sinaloa, State of Mexico, Guerrero and Michoacán.
  • Federal results cited include roughly 34,000 arrests, about 17,200 firearms seized and the destruction of 1,564 meth labs, alongside drug seizures totaling 283 tons that included 3 million fentanyl pills.
  • Trends vary widely by state: Nuevo León reports a 53% drop in homicides in the first nine months and sharper declines into October, while Sinaloa logged 1,302 victims in that span—up about 171% versus 2024—though officials say killings there are 42% lower since a June peak.
  • Homicides of minors fell nationally but rose in eight states, led by a 925% increase in Sinaloa, and INEGI surveys show insecurity remains the top public concern with 63.2% feeling unsafe in their city.