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Mexico’s Fixed Investment Falls for 12th Straight Month, With August Down 2.7% M/M and 8.9% Y/Y

INEGI points to steep drops in non-residential building alongside imported machinery, reinforcing signs of industrial and GDP weakness.

Overview

  • In August 2025, fixed investment posted its largest annual decline since January 2021, extending a yearlong run of negative yearly readings.
  • Monthly declines concentrated in imported machinery and equipment (-5.2%) and non-residential construction (-2.1%), with residential construction also lower (-1.4%).
  • On a yearly basis, construction fell 7.0% with a 18.5% plunge in non-residential projects and a 10.5% drop in machinery and equipment, while residential construction rose 10.0%.
  • Public investment fell far more than private investment in August (about -21% versus -9%), and cumulative January–August investment is down 7.3% from a year earlier.
  • Some outlets using original series report a larger August annual fall (about -10.4%), and analysts link the slump to weaker public works, policy uncertainty, tariff risks on U.S. copper products, and consumption shifting toward imports.