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Mexico’s 28-Day Cetes Yield Rises to 7.50% While Longer-Term Yields Decline

Investors expect Banco de México to cut rates this week, altering demand dynamics at the latest auction.

Overview

  • At the August 5 auction, the 28-day Cetes yield rose to 7.50% from 7.48%, marking a rare uptick after months of declines.
  • Demand for the 28-day bills dropped to 3.19 times the amount offered, down from 3.62 at the previous auction.
  • Auctions for 91-, 182- and 350-day Cetes saw yields fall to 7.80%, 7.94% and 8.04%, respectively, as traders priced in further policy rate cuts.
  • Despite shifting rates, all Cetes continue to offer real returns above the 3.55% inflation rate, maintaining their appeal for conservative investors.
  • Analysts recommend monitoring Banxico’s rate decisions, sovereign credit ratings and secondary-market activity or exploring safe havens such as foreign currencies and precious metals.