Overview
- Mexico’s meteorological service lowered the Pacific low tied to potential Sonia to 0% chance of development in 48 hours and seven days.
- Moisture from the weakened Pacific system is still expected to drive intense rain in Chiapas and heavy showers in Guerrero and Oaxaca on Saturday.
- An Atlantic disturbance under NHC watch, the potential Melissa, holds about a 30% chance of formation within seven days and was last estimated roughly 4,365 km from Quintana Roo.
- A second Atlantic low, the potential Néstor, carries about a 10% development chance and sits thousands of kilometers from the Yucatán Peninsula.
- Meteorologists outline several paths for the Atlantic wave, including late development near Central America, a northward turn toward the Greater Antilles or the U.S. Southeast, or recurvature into the open Atlantic, and authorities urge standard preparedness steps.