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Mexico Tracks Pacific Low With High Odds to Form Tropical Storm Priscilla

Forecasters warn of heavy rain and hazardous surf for Pacific states.

Overview

  • The SMN and Conagua place the disturbance about 485 kilometers south-southwest of Acapulco, moving west-northwest.
  • Development probabilities stand at 70% in the next 48 hours and 90% over seven days, with potential formation this weekend.
  • Moisture linked to the monsoon trough is forecast to bring intense rainfall to Guerrero, Oaxaca and Chiapas, with possible effects in Colima, Jalisco and Michoacán.
  • If it organizes, Priscilla would be the 16th named system in the Pacific this season, which has produced 15 cyclones including eight hurricanes.
  • A separate Atlantic low near 975 to 981 kilometers east-northeast of Cabo Catoche has a 10% chance to develop, and Hurricane Imelda has weakened and does not threaten Mexico.