Overview
- The Secretariado Ejecutivo (SESNSP) said the average daily number of homicidios dolosos fell 50% from 86.9 in September 2024 to 43.4 in October 2026, using data consolidated from the 32 state fiscalías.
- SESNSP also reported a 36% fall in average daily high‑impact crimes between October 2024 and October 2026 and highlighted large drops in some categories, including a roughly 52% decline in vehicle robberies with violence.
- The national decline is not steady month to month, as SESNSP figures show a second consecutive monthly uptick with averages rising from 40.8 in August to 42.2 in September and 43.4 in October 2026.
- Violence remains highly concentrated: seven states accounted for 52.5% of homicides from January to October 2026, and INEGI records show Sinaloa nearly doubled registered homicides in 2025, underscoring sharp subnational divergence.
- The federal government pointed to coordinated operations, large seizures and thousands of arrests as drivers of the fall, but the uneven geography and recent rebound mean sustainability and the local impact on daily safety will need close monitoring.