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Mexico Reports 32% Year-on-Year Drop in Homicides as Officials Cite Major Arrests and Seizures

The decline masks stark regional contrasts, with most killings concentrated in seven states and Sinaloa still elevated despite recent monthly easing.

Overview

  • SESNSP recorded 18,407 homicide victims from January to September 2025, a 19.1% decrease year over year, with the period’s daily average the lowest since 2016 at 67.4.
  • September 2025 averaged 59.5 intentional killings per day, 27 fewer than September 2024, reflecting the reported 32% annual decline.
  • Security Minister Omar García Harfuch reported about 35,400 arrests, 17,200 firearms seized and 1,564 drug labs destroyed in the past year under the administration’s four-pillar strategy and an expanded National Guard.
  • Violence remains concentrated, with 51% of January–September homicides in Guanajuato, Chihuahua, Baja California, Sinaloa, State of Mexico, Guerrero and Michoacán.
  • Nuevo León reports a 53% year-to-date drop and an 84% decline in early October, while Sinaloa shows a 42% fall from its June spike yet totals 1,302 victims January–September and a sharp rise in child killings, according to Redim.