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Mexico Reports 51% Drop in Homicide Rate Since 2024

Authorities attribute the decline to coordinated federal operations, large seizures and new road‑security programs.

Overview

  • The federal Secretariado Ejecutivo (SESNSP) presented consolidated data on Tuesday showing the average daily homicidio doloso fell from 86.9 in September 2024 to 42.5 in July 2026, a 51 percent decrease.
  • Officials said the government arrested about 63,500 people for high‑impact crimes, seized roughly 32,800 firearms and 518 tonnes of drugs during the period and rolled out measures to protect highways and cargo.
  • The decline in high‑impact crimes is broader than homicides, with the SESNSP reporting a 33 percent drop in average daily high‑impact offenses between October 2024 and July 2026.
  • Progress is uneven: seven states—including Guanajuato, Baja California, Chihuahua, Sinaloa, Estado de México, Guerrero and Morelos—accounted for about 49 percent of homicides from January to July 2026.
  • Officials and independent analysts cautioned that methodological differences with INEGI and civil‑society indicators affect comparisons and that violence remains acute in specific regions, so authorities plan to keep operations and prevention programs in place.