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Mexico Posts Strong First‑Half Trade Surplus as Pemex Runs Growing Deficit

The divergence could force fiscal and energy policy responses because Pemex's rising import bill is worsening its trade deficit.

Overview

  • INEGI reported a $9,857 million trade surplus for January–June 2026 driven by a sharp rise in non‑petroleum exports.
  • Mexico recorded a monthly surplus of about $4,090 million in June, which INEGI attributed largely to stronger non‑oil shipments.
  • Petróleos Mexicanos reported a $1,110 million trade deficit for January–May 2026 as its imports outpaced exports.
  • Pemex's May figures show the gap widening: exports were $1,995 million while imports jumped to $2,918 million, producing a $923 million monthly deficit.
  • The split reflects Mexico's broader export diversification and stronger manufacturing demand but highlights a petroleum‑sector vulnerability that could pressure public finances and prompt policy action.