Overview

• CONAGUA has issued a cyclone formation alert off Guerrero with a 60% chance of development into a tropical cyclone within seven days.
• The SMN forecasts heavy to very heavy rainfall (50–150 mm) across nine states through July 31, heightening flood and landslide risks from Veracruz to Oaxaca and Guerrero.
• A heat-wave warning remains active in the northwest, with maximum temperatures forecast to exceed 45 °C in Baja California and Sonora.
• SGIRPC maintains orange and yellow alerts for Mexico City and the State of Mexico, warning of afternoon showers, northerly winds gusting up to 50 km/h and recommending safety measures.
• Tropical waves 16 and 17, multiple low-pressure channels and the Mexican monsoon are overlapping to create concurrent threats of floods, hail, strong winds and extreme heat.