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Mexico Flags Pemex Rescue as Key Obstacle to Fiscal Consolidation in 2026

The 2026 budget sends 263,500 million pesos through the Energy Ministry to cover Pemex debt.

Overview

  • SHCP said 2026 spending plans include a dedicated transfer of 263,500 million pesos for Pemex, an 86% increase over 2025 routed via Sener for debt service.
  • Finance chief Édgar Amador Zamora noted that 46% of Pemex’s debt maturities fall within the current administration, with repayments clustered in 2025–2026.
  • Moody’s said the new allocation raises pressure on Mexico’s deficit outlook and questioned the long‑term feasibility of continued sovereign support under tighter budgets.
  • Moody’s added that the roughly $14 billion earmarked for Pemex debt in 2026 comes on top of support exceeding $30 billion from recent liability‑management operations.
  • An analysis by México Evalúa projects public debt will top 20 trillion pesos next year and highlights that Pemex transfers outsize the proposed IMSS‑Bienestar health budget.