Overview
- The 36th cycle of the 1944 water treaty closed on October 24 with Mexico delivering 47.6% of the required 2,158.6 million cubic meters, a formal breach recorded by the boundary water commission.
- Mexico did not fulfill an April pledge to supply an additional 400–518 million cubic meters before October.
- Critically low storage at the binational La Amistad and Falcón dams — 25% and 11.6% — limited cross‑border releases, while Mexican reservoirs across the basin ranged from 16.5% to full.
- Texas growers reported up to 45% reductions in planted acreage, shifts to dryland crops, and the abandonment of water‑intensive sugarcane due to scarce supplies.
- Political pressure intensified on the U.S. side as President Donald Trump threatened measures and Texas agriculture official Brian Jones denounced the shortfall, even as Mexico’s drought monitor showed rainfall deficits easing to 22.3% of the basin by mid‑October from 71.4% in June.