Overview

• Mexico has delivered 899.4 million cubic meters—42% of its 2,158.6 million cubic meter obligation—as of August 6.
• July shipments reached 97.1 million cubic meters, the highest monthly volume of the 2020–2025 cycle, aided by a drop in Rio Bravo drought severity from 75% to 26%.
• Binational Act 331 signed last November created a working group to identify new water sources and launch conservation projects to reduce the deficit.
• Mexico committed to supply 400–518 million cubic meters between May and October 2025 but has shipped only 152.9 million cubic meters since May, underscoring the need to accelerate deliveries.
• President Trump has warned of tariffs and possible sanctions if Mexico does not meet its treaty obligations, increasing political and economic pressure.