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Mexicana Marks Two Years With Expansion Pledge as Data Show Weak Demand

Analysts say the airline will require about 2 billion pesos a year in subsidies.

Overview

  • Official AFAC figures show 298,502 passengers in 2024 and 343,196 from January to October 2025, roughly 13% of the carrier’s 2.6 million annual target, with an average load factor near 44%.
  • Mexicana’s CEO reports more than 800,000 passengers over two years, with 14 domestic routes in service and a plan to reach 17 as additional Embraer E2 jets are delivered.
  • Sector experts estimate the state airline needs around 2 billion pesos annually to cover operating costs given low occupancy.
  • Planned expansion to U.S. routes in 2026 is constrained by U.S. Department of Transportation restrictions, according to industry analysis.
  • The AIFA base’s limited connectivity and the new VolarisViva ‘Grupo Mexicano de Aerolíneas’ intensify competitive pressure on the government carrier.