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Mexican Peso Logs Biggest Annual Gain Since 1994, Ends 2025 at 18.008 Per Dollar

Analysts cite a softer dollar as the main force behind the move.

Overview

  • The peso closed the year at 18.0080 per U.S. dollar, advancing about 13.8% from the 2024 close of 20.8829, according to Banxico.
  • Weakness in the U.S. dollar, expectations for Federal Reserve easing in 2026, and carry‑trade inflows exploiting wide rate differentials were the principal drivers, analysts said.
  • The currency’s deep liquidity helped absorb large flows, with BIS data placing the peso at roughly 2.6% of global daily FX turnover and among the most traded emerging‑market units.
  • Thin year‑end trading and a U.S. jobless‑claims reading of 199,000, below forecasts, helped the peso finish near the 18‑per‑dollar mark.
  • The stronger currency eases import costs and inflation but reduces the value of remittances, weighs on some exporters’ competitiveness, and lowers prospects for Banxico remanents to the government.