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Meta’s Q3 Beat Faces Backlash Over $70–$72 Billion AI Capex

Investor confidence wavers over unclear returns from Meta’s expanded AI program.

Overview

  • Meta reported Q3 revenue of $51.24 billion and earnings of $7.25 per share, up 26% from a year earlier.
  • A $15.93 billion tax charge tied to new legislation weighed on the quarter’s reported profit.
  • Management lifted 2025 capital spending guidance to $70–$72 billion for AI infrastructure and talent, including a reported $14.3 billion stake in Scale AI and the launch of Superintelligence Labs.
  • Shares fell more than 11% after the update as Oppenheimer cut the stock to Perform, citing uncertain payback and limited visibility until 2027, with the firm noting Alphabet’s similar 2027 P/E and potentially faster 2026 growth in Search.
  • Meta’s ad engine remained healthy with 14% more impressions and a 10% higher average price per ad, and earlier disclosures credited AI tools with boosting conversion rates on Instagram and Facebook.