Overview
- The alert runs from 6am Friday to 6am Saturday, with heavy, prolonged rain and strong easterly winds expected over a broad swathe of England and Wales.
- Rainfall totals are forecast at 30–50mm widely, 60–80mm in places, and potentially more than 100mm on east-facing hills in southeast Wales.
- Travel disruption is likely with spray, flooding and possible road closures, delays or cancellations to bus and rail services, and a small chance of short-term power cuts.
- The Environment Agency cautions that already saturated catchments increase the risk of surface-water and river flooding, and some communities could be temporarily cut off.
- Meteorologists flag uncertainty over the heaviest bands’ exact placement and timing, with further wind and rain warnings possible as the event approaches; northern Scotland turns colder with a risk of hill snow.