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Merz’s Reform Drive Slips to 2026 as Files Move to Commissions, Chancellor Grabs Bürgergeld Dossier

Polling worsens after warnings that debt‑funded investment cannot substitute for structural change.

Overview

  • Key social policy dossiers have been handed to new expert commissions whose work has only just begun, pushing visible outcomes into winter or spring 2026.
  • Union floor leader Jens Spahn urged lawmakers to lower expectations for near‑term overhauls, reflecting a shift to managing timelines rather than promising quick wins.
  • Seeking momentum, Friedrich Merz told the chemical industry association he will handle planned Bürgergeld changes from the chancellery, a move read by some as a snub to SPD labour minister Bärbel Bas.
  • Forsa reports only about a quarter of voters are satisfied with Merz’s performance, with the Union at 25 percent, the SPD at 13 percent and the AfD rising to 27 percent.
  • The Council of Economic Experts stresses that growth beyond 2026 requires structural reforms, cautioning that reliance on the €500 billion debt‑financed special fund would be a serious mistake.