Particle.news

Memory Makers Have Sold Out 2027 Capacity as Shortage Nears Peak

Long-term contracts to cloud and AI customers are squeezing third-party buyers and could keep prices high for years.

Overview

  • Major DRAM makers have reportedly allocated their 2027 output to large clients, leaving little available for independent buyers and resellers.
  • TeamGroup said the busiest period for memory demand is expected between the fourth quarter of 2026 and the second quarter of 2027 and that even well-funded buyers may struggle to secure supply.
  • Factory prices for memory are rising overall while some channel sellers are discounting stock to raise cash, creating short, local price softness but not easing the wider supply squeeze.
  • Industry commentary reported that AI server chips are taking mature-process capacity and that some device makers have started stockpiling components, driving higher BOM costs and shortages that extend beyond DRAM.
  • Producers based in China now supply nearly 10% of the market but cannot close the gap, and vendors warn that supply-demand balance may not return until the second half of 2028 or later while some industry sources speculate tightness could stretch to 2029–2030.