Overview
- A Stanford University study predicts 851,300 measles cases, 170,200 hospitalizations, and 2,550 deaths over 25 years if current vaccination rates persist.
- Measles, declared eliminated in the U.S. in 2000, could return to endemic levels by the mid-2040s due to declining immunization rates.
- The 2025 Texas outbreak, with over 620 cases, 64 hospitalizations, and two child deaths, underscores the immediate consequences of under-vaccination.
- Researchers emphasize that even a modest 5% increase in vaccination coverage could prevent measles from becoming endemic again.
- Factors driving declining vaccination rates include pandemic-era service disruptions, vaccine misinformation, and public distrust.