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21m ago

May Backs Carney’s Budget, Setting Up Knife‑Edge Confidence Vote Tonight

Carney’s pledge to meet Paris climate targets secured the Green leader’s support, leaving the outcome to NDP decisions or late abstentions.

Canada's Prime Minister Mark Carney exits the House of Commons after attending Question Period on Parliament Hill on November 17, 2025 in Ottawa, Canada. Canada's parliament is poised to vote November 17 on the budget proposed by Prime Minister Mark Carney, who opted to double the G7 country's deficit to kickstart the economy -- a risky move that could upend his minority government. The Liberal prime minister, who was elected to a full term in April to stare down US President Donald Trump and its protectionist tariffs, must win support from two opposition lawmakers -- or get abstentions -- to see his budget adopted. If the budget is voted down, it would trigger early elections. (Photo by Dave Chan / AFP) (Photo by DAVE CHAN/AFP via Getty Images)
Members of Parliament are scheduled to vote on a motion from Finance Minister François-Philippe Champagne at 6:45 p.m. Monday.
Canada's Prime Minister Mark Carney makes a live address on Canada’s plan to build a stronger economy, in advance of the 2025 Budget, in Ottawa, Ontario, Canada, October 22, 2025. REUTERS/Patrick Doyle
Finance and National Revenue Minister Francois-Philippe Champagne is applauded by members of the Liberal party as he delivers the federal budget speech in the House of Commons on Parliament Hill in Ottawa, Tuesday, November 4, 2025. THE CANADIAN PRESS/Sean Kilpatrick

Overview

  • MPs are set to vote at 6:45 p.m. ET on the Liberal budget, a confidence test that could trigger a snap election if it fails.
  • With 170 seats but the Speaker sidelined except to break a tie, the Liberals effectively hold 169 votes and need two opposition votes or sufficient abstentions.
  • Elizabeth May’s switch to a yes vote means the government now needs one more MP to back the plan or three opposition MPs to sit out the vote.
  • NDP ranks remain split, with several MPs expected to oppose and others, including interim leader Don Davies, reported likely to abstain, while Conservatives and the Bloc say they will vote no.
  • The budget pairs nearly C$90 billion in new five‑year spending and a projected C$78.3 billion deficit with about C$60 billion in savings and planned public‑service reductions, and a tie could be decided by the Speaker under parliamentary convention.