Overview
- Sportsbooks and prediction markets now tilt toward Stafford, with odds around -195 and Kalshi pricing him near 67% to win, ahead of Drake Maye at roughly +160 and 33%.
- Stafford capped Week 18 with four touchdown passes and was named NFC Offensive Player of the Week and then Offensive Player of the Month, reinforcing his late-season rebound.
- The Rams quarterback led the NFL with 4,707 passing yards and 46 touchdown passes, drawing a high-profile endorsement from Tom Brady, who called it Stafford’s best season.
- Maye remains a strong contender after leading New England to 14-3 with elite efficiency—72% completion, 113.5 passer rating, 77.2 QBR—plus 4,394 passing yards and about 450 rushing yards.
- A Maye victory would be unprecedented, as he had no offensive Pro Bowl teammates this season, whereas Stafford’s supporting cast included multiple Pro Bowlers; the 50-member media panel’s pre-playoff votes will decide the award.