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8h ago

Mateer, Mendoza Lead Heisman Odds as Quarterbacks Dominate Early Market

Analysts describe early stat surges on soft schedules as fragile pricing heading into Week 5.

Sep 20, 2025; Norman, Oklahoma, USA; Oklahoma Sooners quarterback John Mateer (10) celebrates after the game against the Auburn Tigers at Gaylord Family-Oklahoma Memorial Stadium. Mandatory Credit: Kevin Jairaj-Imagn Images
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Overview

  • Oklahoma quarterback John Mateer is the consensus betting favorite at major books such as BetMGM and Caesars at around +700 after a 24-17 win over Auburn.
  • Indiana’s Fernando Mendoza has surged to the top tier at roughly +900 to +950 with 14 touchdown passes, no interceptions and a 76.8% completion rate following a 63-10 rout of Illinois.
  • Handicappers caution that Indiana’s early slate featured weaker opponents and say upcoming road tests will better calibrate Mendoza’s candidacy.
  • A single outlet, ClutchPoints, reported an alleged hand injury and surgery for Mateer; that claim has not been corroborated by team or major news outlets.
  • Dante Moore (Oregon) and Carson Beck (Miami) remain in close pursuit, with marquee games like Oregon–Penn State and Alabama–Georgia expected to move prices, while preseason favorite Arch Manning has drifted to long-shot territory and remains BetMGM’s biggest liability.