Overview
- Citi’s latest survey pegs 2025 GDP growth at 0.4% and lowers 2026 to 1.3%.
- Banco de México’s specialists now average 0.39% for 2025 and 1.29% for 2026, according to the November poll.
- The private-sector group Ceesp says the probability of GDP declines increased for Q4 2025 and Q1 2026.
- INEGI reports the economy contracted 0.3% quarter over quarter and 0.2% year over year in Q3.
- Gross fixed investment fell 8.4% in September to log 13 straight annual declines, while the government projects 1.0% growth in 2025 and 2.3% in 2026 and specialists expect roughly 246,000 new IMSS jobs in 2025.