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Markets Tick Up After US-China Truce Extension as Inflation Data Looms

Investors await today’s CPI release to confirm a September rate cut forecast after Washington extended its 90-day tariff pause with Beijing alongside a unique chipmaker revenue-sharing deal.

Overview

  • Global equities rose modestly Tuesday after President Trump formalized a 90-day tariff truce extension with China, giving markets a small lift.
  • Nvidia and AMD agreed to remit 15% of AI-chip revenues from China to the US government, easing concerns over stricter tech export controls.
  • US CPI data due Tuesday and the PPI on Thursday are poised to shape Federal Reserve policy and validate growing market bets on a September rate cut.
  • European defense names including Thales, Safran and Dassault Aviation slid this week as traders factored in geopolitical uncertainty ahead of the Trump-Putin summit in Alaska on Ukraine.
  • The Fed’s benchmark rate has held at 4.25%–4.50% since December, with CME tools showing a widespread expectation of a 25-basis-point cut at the September meeting.