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Markets Start 2026 Higher After 2025’s Best Cross‑Asset Run Since 2009

Analysts warn the next phase hinges on AI investment with contained inflation, leaving little cushion for disappointment.

Overview

  • Global stocks rose in the first session of January, extending late‑2025 momentum as AI enthusiasm and easier financial conditions persisted.
  • Measured across equities, bonds, credit and commodities, 2025 delivered the strongest cross‑asset gains since 2009, with US stocks up about 18% and global equities roughly 23%.
  • Government bonds advanced as the Federal Reserve cut rates three times, pushing global Treasuries up nearly 7% and driving volatility and credit risk premiums to multi‑year lows.
  • Gold notched record highs, supported by central‑bank purchases, looser US policy and a weaker dollar, while a Bloomberg commodities gauge rose about 11%.
  • BlackRock’s Jean Boivin flagged a “diversification mirage,” and Schroders’ Mina Krishnan highlighted energy‑led inflation as a key risk even as asset allocators like Columbia Threadneedle voiced near‑term confidence.