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Markets Reprice Fed Path as Dollar and Yields Rebound, Tech Stocks Slide

Powell's caution on further cuts lifted Treasury yields, firmed the dollar, cooling risk appetite.

Overview

  • U.S. stocks fell for a second session, led by technology and AI names, after Powell declined to signal a near‑term cut and flagged stretched equity valuations.
  • Gold held near record territory after hitting new highs earlier this week, supported by expected U.S. rate reductions, central‑bank buying, and geopolitical risk.
  • European indexes ended mixed as defense shares advanced following Trump’s strong support for Ukraine, while softer German Ifo data weighed on sentiment.
  • In Brazil, interest‑rate futures fell on Tuesday on a brief TrumpLula thaw and a Copom minutes reading seen as slightly less conservative, then edged higher Wednesday with the stronger dollar.
  • Despite the mid‑September 25 bp Fed cut, markets are reassessing odds for additional 2025 reductions, with Treasury yields and the dollar retracing recent declines.