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2d ago

Markets Poised for Fed’s Expected Quarter-Point Cut as Meeting Begins

Powell’s guidance on the pace of easing will shape reactions across stocks, currencies, commodities, crypto.

The exterior of the Federal Reserve building is seen in Washington, D.C., U.S., June 14, 2022. REUTERS/Sarah Silbiger/File Photo
A person counts U.S. one-hundred dollar bills at a currency exchange office, in Santiago, Chile April 4, 2025. REUTERS/Pablo Sanhueza/File Photo
Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell talks to reporters following the regular Federal Open Market Committee meetings at the Fed on July 30, 2025 in Washington, DC.
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Overview

  • Traders fully price a 25-basis-point move for Sept. 17, with futures implying additional cuts into 2026 and high sensitivity to the dot plot.
  • Global equities hover near records, the dollar softens to multi‑month lows, and spot gold hits fresh all‑time highs near $3,690 on easing bets.
  • Bitcoin holds near $115,000 in a tight range below $116,000, supported by spot ETF inflows and on‑chain accumulation after a sharp drop in exchange volumes.
  • Strategists warn of event‑driven volatility and possible sell‑the‑news reactions if the outcome and tone match expectations.
  • Political crosscurrents add communication risk, with Stephen Miran narrowly confirmed to the Fed board and an appeals court keeping Governor Lisa Cook in place.