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Markets Edge Higher as Investors Weigh Trade Tensions and Key Economic Data

Optimism over corporate earnings and potential tariff de-escalation is tempered by uncertainty surrounding U.S.–China trade talks and Federal Reserve policy.

Overview

  • The S&P 500 has rebounded nearly 12% from its April 8 low but remains 10% below its all-time high, supported by strong corporate earnings and AI megacap gains.
  • Conflicting statements from U.S. and Chinese officials continue to create uncertainty about the progress of trade negotiations, despite Beijing's recent tariff exemptions.
  • Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell has highlighted challenges in balancing inflation control with employment stability, leaving the door open for potential rate hikes.
  • Investors are closely monitoring upcoming U.S. economic indicators, including GDP, non-farm payrolls, and inflation data, for signals on the Fed's next policy moves.
  • Asian and European markets opened cautiously higher, reflecting mixed sentiment as traders assess global economic cues and geopolitical developments.