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Mark Carney's Liberals Projected to Win Canadian Election, Majority Status Uncertain

The Liberal Party secures a fourth consecutive term in a snap election shaped by U.S. trade tensions and nationalist sentiment, but falls short of confirming a parliamentary majority.

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Canadian Prime Minister and Liberal leader Mark Carney, alongside his wife Diana Fox Carney (L), gives a thumbs up after casting his ballot a polling station during the federal election in Ottawa.
Mark Carney is expected to remain prime minister of Canada

Overview

  • Canadian broadcasters CBC and CTV project a Liberal victory in the April 28 federal election, with Mark Carney remaining as prime minister.
  • It remains unclear whether the Liberals will secure the 172 seats required for a majority government in the 343-seat House of Commons.
  • The election saw record early voting, with 7.3 million Canadians casting advance ballots, signaling heightened voter engagement.
  • U.S. President Donald Trump's tariffs and annexation rhetoric fueled a surge in Canadian nationalism, aiding the Liberals' comeback after trailing the Conservatives earlier this year.
  • This marks the fourth consecutive federal election win for the Liberal Party, following a leadership transition from Justin Trudeau to Mark Carney in January.