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Mark Carney's Liberals Poised for Majority as Pierre Poilievre Struggles to Pivot

With the election set for April 28, Poilievre faces criticism over his populist approach and failure to address U.S. economic threats, while Carney consolidates support.

Ontario's Treasury Board President Carolyn Mulroney listens as Premier Doug Ford speaks to the media at the Ontario Legislature, in Toronto, on Wednesday  December 11, 2024.
Workers pose with Liberal leader Mark Carney as he makes a campaign stop at an auto parts factory, Friday, April 4, 2025 in Vaughan.  THE CANADIAN PRESS/Adrian Wyld
Pierre Poilievre at a recent campaign event.
Supporters of Liberal Leader Mark Carney wait outside of an event on Thursday, April 3, 2025 in Montreal. THE CANADIAN PRESS/Adrian Wyld

Overview

  • Polls show Mark Carney's Liberals leading with 46% nationally, indicating a potential majority government, while Pierre Poilievre's Conservatives trail at 37%.
  • Pierre Poilievre's campaign has faced backlash for its populist rhetoric and association with the 'freedom movement,' alienating moderate voters and women.
  • Critics highlight Poilievre's refusal to pivot his campaign to address Canadian concerns over Donald Trump's tariffs and annexation rhetoric.
  • Poilievre has distanced himself from Preston Manning's comments suggesting a Liberal victory could lead to Western separatism, calling for national unity instead.
  • Ontario Premier Doug Ford allowed Caroline Mulroney to endorse Poilievre, but the endorsement has not significantly shifted campaign dynamics.