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Mark Carney's Liberals Lead Polls, Projected to Win Majority Government

Polling shows the Liberal Party has surged to 42% support, overtaking the Conservatives under Carney's leadership, with a snap election widely anticipated.

OTTAWA, CANADA - MARCH 14: New Canadian Prime Minister Mark Carney addresses the media after being sworn in at Rideau Hall on March 14, 2025 in Ottawa, Ontario, Canada. Carney, a former central banker, replaces Justin Trudeau as Prime Minister and Liberal Party leader as the country faces a trade war with the United States.
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Canada Prime Minister Mark Carney (right) is greeted by British Prime Minister Keir Starmer in London on Monday. (AP)

Overview

  • The Liberal Party, led by Mark Carney, has gained 42% support in national polls, surpassing the Conservatives' 36-37%, according to Ipsos and Angus Reid Institute data.
  • Carney is viewed as the best candidate for Prime Minister, with 41-42% of respondents selecting him over Conservative leader Pierre Poilievre's 29-32%.
  • Projections from 338Canada indicate a 55% chance of the Liberals securing a majority government, a dramatic turnaround from their position three months ago.
  • The party's resurgence is attributed to Carney's leadership, the dismantling of the carbon tax, and heightened Canadian nationalism in response to Donald Trump's trade war and annexation rhetoric.
  • A snap federal election is expected to be called soon, with speculation pointing to late April or early May as the potential timeline.