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Mark Carney's Liberals Lead Polls as Canada Faces U.S. Tensions Ahead of Election

The April 28 election is framed as a pivotal moment for Canada to assert sovereignty and navigate economic challenges under the shadow of U.S. tariffs and annexation rhetoric.

Canada's Prime Minister Mark Carney speaking to the media after meeting with his cabinet to deal with the US auto tariffs on March 27, 2025 on Parliament Hill in Ottawa (left) and Canada's Conservative leader Pierre Poilievre launching his campaign for the April 28 federal election at the Kruger plant in Brampton, Ontario, on March 24, 2025 (right).
A former Goldman Sachs banker, Mark Carney carries a reputation as a crisis manager for having steered Canada through the 2008 recession as the Governor of the Bank of Canada and seeing the British economy through Brexit when he helmed the Bank of England (AP)
Canada's Conservative Party Leader Pierre Poilievre speaks at a rally in February 2025 in Ottawa

Overview

  • Prime Minister Mark Carney's Liberal Party has surged ahead in polls, reversing earlier declines under Justin Trudeau's leadership.
  • Carney has declared the end of Canada's deep economic and security ties with the U.S., following escalating tariffs and threats from President Donald Trump.
  • Conservative leader Pierre Poilievre focuses his campaign on tax cuts, affordable housing, and resource development while distancing himself from Trump comparisons.
  • Canadian voters prioritize economic stability and leadership capable of addressing U.S. pressures, with Carney's economic expertise resonating with many.
  • Carney has hinted at exploring closer ties with Europe as an alternative to reliance on the U.S., signaling a potential shift in Canada's global positioning.