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Mark Carney's Liberals Hold Strong Lead Ahead of Canada's Snap Election

With a week to go, polls project a Liberal majority as Carney's economic credentials resonate against Trump's trade war impact.

Conservative Leader Pierre Poilievre arrives in Terrace, B.C., during a campaign stop on Sunday, April 6, 2025. THE CANADIAN PRESS/Aaron Whitfield
Conservative Leader Pierre Poilievre speaks during a campaign rally, in Penticton, B.C., on Saturday, April 5, 2025. THE CANADIAN PRESS/Darryl Dyck
The campaign planes for the Liberals and the Conservatives await their leaders after the debates in Montreal on April 18, 2025.
Canada's Prime Minister Mark Carney walks towards his bus after getting off his plane in Halifax Stanfield International Airport during his Liberal Party election campaign tour in Goffs, Nova Scotia, Canada April 21, 2025. REUTERS/Carlos Osorio

Overview

  • Recent polls place the Liberals at 43–44% support, ahead of the Conservatives at 36–38%, with projections favoring a Liberal majority in Parliament.
  • Prime Minister Mark Carney has emphasized his experience as a former central banker to address economic challenges posed by U.S. tariffs and annexation rhetoric.
  • Advance voting turnout has set records, with nearly two million Canadians casting ballots on the first day, signaling heightened voter engagement.
  • Conservative leader Pierre Poilievre faces declining support as comparisons to Donald Trump and voter concerns over sovereignty reshape the campaign narrative.
  • Carney has called for a decisive mandate to reduce Canada's economic reliance on the U.S. and navigate trade tensions effectively.