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Mark Carney Maintains Polling Lead as Canadian Election Campaign Reaches Midpoint

With strong voter confidence in his leadership and trade negotiation skills, Carney's Liberals hold a significant edge over Poilievre's Conservatives ahead of the April 28 election.

(Left) Canadian Prime Minister Mark Carney calls for a snap election after speaking with Mary Simon, the Governor General of Canada, on March 23, 2025 in Ottawa, Canada. (Right) Canadian Conservative leader Pierre Poilievre speaks during a campaign event in Trois-Rivieres, Quebec, Canada on April 4, 2025
Canada's Prime Minister Mark Carney holds a Liberal Party election campaign rally in Calgary, Alberta, Canada April 8, 2025.  REUTERS/Todd Korol
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Overview

  • Recent polls show Mark Carney's Liberal Party leading the Conservatives by 4 to 12 points, with the Liberals positioned for a potential majority government.
  • Carney remains the preferred choice for prime minister, holding a 13-point lead over Pierre Poilievre in personal approval ratings, despite a slight dip in recent days.
  • Over 60% of Canadians believe Carney is the best candidate to negotiate with U.S. President Donald Trump, reinforcing his campaign's focus on U.S.-Canada trade relations.
  • Criticism has emerged over Carney's campaign style, with some voters expressing concerns about his approach and warning it could erode support.
  • The upcoming French-language debate is seen as a pivotal moment for Carney, particularly in Quebec, where his support is currently strong but could shift.