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Mariners Favored by Models in Friday Pitching Matchup With Rays

Dimers' 10,000-run simulation gives Seattle the edge, shifting betting odds as the game streams on Apple TV's Friday Night Baseball.

Overview

  • The Seattle Mariners host the Tampa Bay Rays at T‑Mobile Park on Friday, Aug. 7, with first pitch set for 6:45 p.m. PT and starters Logan Gilbert for Seattle and Drew Rasmussen for Tampa Bay.
  • Dimers.com ran 10,000 simulations and projects a 55.1% chance the Mariners win while its model slightly favors the Over on the 7.5 run total.
  • Seattle will be without outfielder Luke Raley for the rest of the season because of an elbow issue and the Rays are missing Jake Fraley with a hernia, changes that were built into the latest projections.
  • Reported market lines before the game showed Seattle at about -1.5 on the spread, a near-even moneyline and an Over/Under of 7.5, but sportsbooks can move those numbers as late scratches or new information appear.
  • The matchup matters for standings because Tampa Bay remains one of the American League’s top teams while Seattle is fighting for a wild-card spot, and viewers should expect the game on Apple TV’s Friday Night Baseball rather than a traditional TV channel.