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Mamdani Widens Polling Edge in NYC Mayor Race as Trump Forecasts His Victory

Trump's on-air prediction highlights how a divided opposition leaves Mamdani in front.

Overview

  • Fresh Quinnipiac and NYT/Siena surveys put Zohran Mamdani at 45–46% in a four-way matchup, roughly 22 points ahead of Andrew Cuomo, with Curtis Sliwa and Eric Adams trailing in the mid- to low-teens.
  • In a hypothetical one-on-one, the NYT/Siena poll shows Mamdani leading Cuomo 48% to 44%, underscoring that consolidation would narrow but not erase the gap.
  • President Trump said on Fox & Friends that Mamdani "looks like he's going to win," mocked rivals, and repeated his call for Adams and Sliwa to bow out to boost Cuomo.
  • Adams says he is staying in the race and is commissioning additional polling, Sliwa insists he won’t exit, and Cuomo criticizes Adams as a spoiler helping Mamdani.
  • Polling shows steep resistance to Mamdani among Jewish voters—about three-quarters view him unfavorably as Adams leads that bloc—while Mamdani’s supporters report the highest enthusiasm at about 91%.