Overview

• A Siena College poll released Tuesday shows Mamdani leading Cuomo by 19 points with 44% support compared to Cuomo’s 25%, while Republican Curtis Sliwa and incumbent Eric Adams trail at 12% and 7%, respectively.
• Betting markets on Polymarket assign Mamdani roughly an 82% chance of victory in the November general election.
• Mamdani has launched a “Five Boroughs Against Trump” tour to stress immigration protections, including removing ICE from city facilities and strengthening sanctuary city laws.
• Rivals Andrew Cuomo and Mamdani have exchanged personal attacks, with Cuomo demanding the release of Mamdani’s rent-stabilized lease and Mamdani accusing Cuomo of consulting fraud and calling for transparency on his client list.
• The general election features independent bids by Cuomo and Adams alongside Republican Curtis Sliwa, raising the prospect of a split anti-Mamdani vote that national figures are framing as a test of Democratic socialism.