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Mamdani Widens Lead in NYC Mayoral Polls as Harris and Hochul Endorsements Cement Front-Runner Status

Fresh surveys show a double-digit advantage for the Democratic nominee, with dissatisfaction over crime, costs, housing reshaping voter priorities.

Overview

  • Beacon Research/Shaw & Company for Fox News (Sept. 18–22) shows Mamdani at 45% among registered voters and 47% among likely voters, with Cuomo at 27–29%, Sliwa 11%, and Adams 7–8%.
  • Across September surveys from Suffolk, YouGov/CBS, Marist, Emerson, Quinnipiac, and Siena, Mamdani holds mid‑40s support with four‑way leads ranging roughly 15–22 points.
  • Sixty‑two percent of New Yorkers report the city is on the wrong track, with top concerns identified as crime (25%), cost of living (20%), and affordable housing (17%).
  • Kamala Harris publicly urged Democrats to back Mamdani and spoke with him by phone for about ten minutes this week, following Gov. Kathy Hochul’s Sept. 14 op‑ed endorsement.
  • The neighboring New Jersey governor’s race remains competitive, with recent polls showing Mikie Sherrill leading 48–41 (Clear Insights) or tied 43–43 (Emerson) ahead of the Nov. 4 election.