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3mo ago

Mamdani Narrows Cuomo’s Lead to Single Digits in NYC Democratic Mayoral Primary

Emerson College polling reveals Cuomo’s first-choice support at 35% with a simulation giving him 54% to Mamdani’s 46% in the final ranked-choice tally.

Mayoral Candidate Zohran Mamdani speaks to a crowd in Union Square on April 25, 2025 and former New York Governor and mayoral candidate Andrew Cuomo marches in the Israel Day Parade, Sunday, May 18, 2025, in New York.
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Former Gov. Andrew Cuomo and Queens Assemblyman Zohran Mamdani. (Getty)

Overview

  • The Emerson College/PIX11/The Hill survey conducted May 23–26 finds Cuomo leading with 35% of first-choice votes while Mamdani holds 23%, and a ranked-choice simulation shows Cuomo winning 54% to 46% after ten rounds.
  • Mamdani has gained 23 points since early polls, capturing second-choice support nearly two-to-one and leading among voters under 50, white voters and those with college degrees.
  • Jewish voters prioritize combating antisemitism, with 76% viewing hate crimes as a very serious problem and showing strong support for Cuomo alongside increasing backing for Mamdani.
  • Cuomo’s campaign highlights his record as a former governor and plans to fight antisemitism, while Mamdani has formed alliances with other progressive candidates and emphasized social safety net reforms.
  • The June 24 primary, which features early voting from June 14 and ranked-choice voting, will decide the Democratic nominee who will face independent and Republican challengers in November.