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Mamdani Maintains Lead in NYC Mayor’s Race as Suffolk Poll Shows Narrowing

Early voting continues with Sliwa’s bloc plus shifts among Hispanic and independent voters seen as pivotal.

Overview

  • Two late polls keep Zohran Mamdani in front: Quinnipiac shows 43% to Andrew Cuomo’s 33% with Curtis Sliwa at 14%, and Marist finds 48% to 32% with Sliwa at 16%.
  • A Suffolk survey conducted Oct. 23–26 reports a 44%–34% edge for Mamdani, signaling a tighter margin driven by Cuomo gains with Hispanic and independent voters.
  • Sliwa holds a nontrivial share across surveys, and polling indicates many of his supporters name Cuomo as a second choice, a dynamic that narrows a two-way test to 44%–40% for Mamdani.
  • Affordability dominates voter concerns, with 54% calling city life somewhat or very unaffordable, while a Manhattan Institute poll finds 58% oppose making buses fully free despite Mamdani’s proposal.
  • Early voting runs Oct. 25 through Nov. 2, and Election Day is Tuesday, Nov. 4, with polls open 6 a.m. to 9 p.m.; voters can confirm locations via the NYC Board of Elections.