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Mamdani Maintains Lead in NYC Mayor’s Race as Early Vote Surges and Cuomo Gains Late Lift

Heavy late spending plus an older early-vote surge are shrinking Mamdani’s cushion.

Overview

  • Most major polls still show Zohran Mamdani with a double-digit advantage, though a new AtlasIntel survey pegs the race tighter at 41% for Mamdani, 34% for Andrew Cuomo and 24% for Curtis Sliwa.
  • Early voting has set records with roughly hundreds of thousands of ballots cast, and unofficial data show voters 60 and older make up the largest share so far, a demographic that tends to favor Cuomo.
  • Michael Bloomberg formally endorsed Cuomo and injected millions more into pro-Cuomo and anti-Mamdani super PACs, fueling a late wave of attack ads against the Democratic nominee.
  • Mamdani spoke with President Barack Obama, with the campaign citing words of support, as national figures weigh in and President Donald Trump warns New York would struggle to secure federal funds under a Mamdani administration.
  • Republican Curtis Sliwa remains in the three-way field, preserving a potential spoiler dynamic in a plurality-wins contest with Election Day set for Nov. 4.