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1h ago

Mamdani Maintains Double-Digit Lead Three Days Before NYC Mayoral Vote

Early-vote strength is keeping his margin intact in final preelection polling.

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Independent candidate former New York Gov. Andrew Cuomo, Republican candidate Curtis Sliwa and Democratic candidate Assemblyman Zohran Mamdani participate in a second New York City mayoral debate at LaGuardia Performing Arts Center at LaGuardia Community College in the Queens borough of New York, Wednesday, Oct. 22, 2025. (Hiroko Masuike/The New York Times via AP, Pool)
A polling site in the Annadale section of Staten Island.

Overview

  • An aggregate of eight major polls shows Zohran Mamdani averaging 46.6% to Andrew Cuomo’s 30.1% and Curtis Sliwa’s 16.5%, according to RealClear Polling.
  • The Hill/Emerson survey conducted Oct. 25–28 puts Mamdani at 50%, Cuomo at 25%, and Sliwa at 21%, with other recent polls from Marist, Quinnipiac, Suffolk, Manhattan Institute, Victory Insights, AARP, and Fox News also showing double-digit Mamdani leads in many cases.
  • Hill/Emerson finds Mamdani with 71% support among Black voters and broad backing from voters under 50, along with 58% support among those who have already cast ballots.
  • Cuomo is campaigning as a centrist, experience-focused alternative, while Sliwa emphasizes a law‑and‑order message, yet both continue to trail in late polling.
  • Election Day is Tuesday, Nov. 4, with polls closing at 9 p.m. ET, and President Donald Trump has warned on Truth Social he would withhold federal funding if Mamdani wins; Eric Adams remains mayor through Dec. 31, 2025.