Overview
- Quinnipiac’s Oct. 23–27 survey puts Zohran Mamdani at 43%, Andrew Cuomo at 33% and Curtis Sliwa at 14%, narrowing Mamdani’s margin to 10 points from 13 earlier this month as the share of undecided voters ticked up.
- A Manhattan Institute poll conducted Oct. 22–26 shows Mamdani leading by 15 points, while prediction markets still price him as the favorite even after short-term volatility noted this week.
- Early voting through day three topped 297,000 citywide, with Brooklyn at 92,035, Manhattan 89,474, Queens 68,873, the Bronx 24,919 and Staten Island 22,417, according to the NYC Board of Elections.
- Quinnipiac’s Jewish subsample shows Cuomo leading Mamdani 60% to 16%, and the poll finds Cuomo performing better with voters 50 and older, as pro-Mamdani groups like “New York Jews for Zohran” ramp up canvassing.
- The final stretch features Islamophobic rhetoric and AI-generated attack ads, including a Cuomo campaign video that was posted then deleted, while new endorsements such as Rep. Tom Suozzi’s — alongside earlier backing from Eric Adams and David Paterson — bolster Cuomo’s late push as Sliwa remains a distant third.