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Mamdani Leads Divided Four-Way New York City Mayoral Race

A recent poll shows the socialist Democratic nominee ahead, with two centrist rivals running independently and splitting the moderate vote.

Overview

  • A WICK poll conducted July 18–20 finds Zohran Mamdani leading the four-way general election field with 39% support, followed by Andrew Cuomo at 21%, Curtis Sliwa at 18% and Eric Adams at 9%.
  • In a head-to-head matchup, Cuomo holds a narrow 42% to 41% edge over Mamdani, highlighting how split moderate backing could decide the November outcome.
  • New York City business leaders remain undecided on whom to support, with some privately backing Cuomo and others rallying behind Adams, delaying a united front against Mamdani’s agenda.
  • Key Democratic figures, including House Minority Leader Hakeem Jeffries, have withheld formal endorsements of Mamdani, underscoring deep intra-party divisions over his socialist platform.
  • International criticism and online backlash have intensified scrutiny of Mamdani’s proposals, with Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu calling them “nonsense” and researchers documenting a surge in Islamophobic content after the primary.