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Mamdani Leads Divided Four-Way New York City Mayoral Race

A recent poll shows the socialist Democratic nominee ahead, with two centrist rivals running independently and splitting the moderate vote.

This combination of pictures created on June 24, 2025, shows New York City mayoral candidate and democratic State Representative Zohran Mamdani (L) in New York City on April 16, 2025, and New York City mayoral candidate Andrew Cuomo (R) in New York City on April 13, 2025. (Photo by ANGELA WEISS and CHARLY TRIBALLEAU / AFP) (Photo by ANGELA WEISS,CHARLY TRIBALLEAU/AFP via Getty Images)

Overview

  • A WICK poll conducted July 18–20 finds Zohran Mamdani leading the four-way general election field with 39% support, followed by Andrew Cuomo at 21%, Curtis Sliwa at 18% and Eric Adams at 9%.
  • In a head-to-head matchup, Cuomo holds a narrow 42% to 41% edge over Mamdani, highlighting how split moderate backing could decide the November outcome.
  • New York City business leaders remain undecided on whom to support, with some privately backing Cuomo and others rallying behind Adams, delaying a united front against Mamdani’s agenda.
  • Key Democratic figures, including House Minority Leader Hakeem Jeffries, have withheld formal endorsements of Mamdani, underscoring deep intra-party divisions over his socialist platform.
  • International criticism and online backlash have intensified scrutiny of Mamdani’s proposals, with Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu calling them “nonsense” and researchers documenting a surge in Islamophobic content after the primary.