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yesterday

Mamdani Leads Cuomo in Final-Round Poll in NYC Mayoral Primary

Emerson polling puts Zohran Mamdani ahead in the final round after record early voting surged turnout under the ranked-choice system.

File photo of Zohran Mamdani
Democratic mayoral candidates Adrienne Adams, Andrew Cuomo, Brad Lander, Zohran Mamdani, Zellnor Myrie, Scott Stringer and Whitney Tilson participate in the New York City Democratic Mayoral Primary Debate on June 12, 2025 in New York City.
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Democratic mayoral candidates (L/R) former Gov. Andrew Cuomo, city Comptroller Brad Lander and state Assemblymember Zohran Mamdani participate in the New York City Democratic Mayoral Primary Debate at the John Jay College of Criminal Justice in the Gerald W. Lynch Theater on June 12, 2025 in New York City.

Overview

  • The June 24 Democratic primary has narrowed to a head-to-head between former Gov. Andrew Cuomo and Assemblymember Zohran Mamdani in a test of establishment versus progressive influence.
  • An Emerson College Polling/PIX11/The Hill survey conducted June 18–20 shows Mamdani winning 51.8% to Cuomo’s 48.2% in an eight-round ranked-choice count.
  • Early voting through June 22 nearly doubled the 2021 primary’s turnout, with under-40 voters making up a significant share of ballots cast.
  • Cuomo has secured support from political heavyweights and billionaire donors, while Mamdani’s campaign relies on small-dollar contributions and endorsements from figures like Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez and Bernie Sanders.
  • No winner may be declared on election night, as the Board of Elections will not redistribute backup choices until July 1 under the city’s ranked-choice rules.