Overview

• Quinnipiac’s Oct. 3–7 poll of 1,015 likely voters shows Zohran Mamdani at 46%, Andrew Cuomo at 33% and Curtis Sliwa at 15%, with a margin of error of ±3.9 points.
• Compared with September, Cuomo is up about 10 points as most Adams supporters shifted to him, narrowing Mamdani’s advantage from 22 to 13 points while Sliwa’s share holds steady.
• Mamdani’s backers report the highest enthusiasm and better favorability, and he is viewed as more ethical, while Cuomo is rated strongest on experience but remains underwater on favorability.
• Support divides along demographics and issues: Mamdani leads among Democrats, Asian American and younger voters and is preferred on lowering housing costs, while Cuomo leads among Jewish voters and is favored to grow the economy.
• Sliwa stays in the race despite pressure to bow out, and the candidates courted business leaders this week as Mamdani defended a rent freeze and promised public–private partnerships and Cuomo emphasized his governing record and housing buildout goals.